Generic Congressional Ballot 2024 538. Our latest survey found that 45% of voters would back the democratic candidate in their district while 43% would support the republican. Ahead of america’s congressional elections, polls frequently ask voters which party’s candidate they would support in their own house district, a question sometimes referred to as the “generic.
— the generic ballot is the best tool for forecasting the house popular vote, and is especially useful in cycles without presidential races atop the ballot. Here are all the steps we take to calculate our approval, favorability, generic congressional ballot and primary election averages.